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01/14/2005:

"U.S. Report Sees More Diffuse Terror Threat to 2020"

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Al Qaeda will be replaced by increasingly decentralized Muslim militants over the next 15 years who will feed on globalization to find recruits and stage attacks, a new U.S. intelligence report said on Thursday.

The report by the National Intelligence Council, the U.S. intelligence community's think tank, also said the Iraq conflict could provide recruitment for a new class of militants, who would disperse and gradually replace the al Qaeda members who had earned their stripes in Afghanistan.

``We expect that by 2020 al Qaeda will have been superseded by similarly inspired but more diffuse Islamic extremist groups,'' said the report, called ``Mapping the Global Future.''
Full Article: nytimes.com/reuters

Well, since it's them doing the mapping, they should know.